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Prediction Markets

Our AI identifies information asymmetries, detects market edge, and finds arbitrage opportunities the crowd misses.

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Instant Market Intelligence

One click reveals structural inefficiencies

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Recommendation

Rationale: Market is underpricing a 25 bps rate cut at 12% when recent Fed communications and inflation data strongly suggest higher probability. The crowd appears to be anchoring on historical "no change" bias.
Time Horizon 3 weeks
Confidence High

Edge Analysis

Edge Type Information Lag
Current Price 12% (Yes)
Fair Value 25-35%
Assessment Underpriced
High Liquidity ($65M Volume)

Information State

Latest Developments (Past 48h)
Core PCE came in at 2.4% (below consensus of 2.5%)—dovish signal.
Fed minutes from December meeting showed "several members" support gradual cuts.
CME FedWatch Tool shows 62% probability of 25bps cut—significantly higher than Polymarket.
6 web searches • 12 information chunks analyzed • 8 similar historical markets compared

The Problem

Markets Misprice

Prediction markets aggregate crowd wisdom, but often misprice events that require synthesis across multiple sources, novel situations, and time-value distortions.

Information Asymmetry

News breaks, but prices lag. We detect when critical information exists that the market hasn't incorporated yet—giving you a window to act.

Market Edge Detection

Historical patterns reveal systematic mispricings. Certain market types consistently trade above or below fair value.

Arbitrage Opportunities

Market microstructure creates exploitable inefficiencies through time decay, sentiment premiums, and flow patterns.

The System

AI-Powered Analysis in Seconds

1

Market Structure

Analyze volume, liquidity, and price velocity.

2

Historical Patterns

Search similar resolved markets via RAG database.

3

Information Synthesis

Real-time web search for breaking news.

4

Edge Classification

Identify exploitable mispricings with confidence.

Stop Donating to the Market

Chrome extension adds AI analysis directly to Polymarket. One click for instant edge detection.

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Research & Educational Tool Only

Not financial advice. Skew provides market research and analysis for educational purposes. All trading decisions are your own responsibility.